BMO Capital Cuts The Carlyle (CG) Price Target to $46

Key Points

  • BMO Capital lowered its price target on Carlyle Group from $56 to $46 while keeping an Outperform rating as of October 27, 2026.
  • BMO Capital's $46 price target implies 18.80% upside from The Carlyle Group Inc.'s ($CG) current $38.72 share price.
  • As of October 27, 2026, Carlyle Group shares recently traded around $38.72, which is about equal to the closing price on the same day.
  • The current consensus among analysts shows a mean price target of $51.37 with 19 opinions, indicating a buy recommendation.

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BMO Capital lowered its price target on The Carlyle Group Inc. (CG) from $56 to $46 on October 27, 2026, while maintaining an Outperform rating. This adjustment comes as the firm assesses the company's recent performance and market conditions.

The new target reflects a significant decrease from the prior figure, indicating a cautious outlook despite the maintained rating. The shares closed at $38.72 on the same day, with the current trading level showing the stock is below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages by 8.2% and 18.9%, respectively.

CG The Carlyle Group Inc.
$38.73 -35.02% year to date
Daily close · Oct 27, 2026
Analyst rating track record

BMO Capital vs. the S&P 500

YTD return +2.35% hypothetical
All-time return +2.35% S&P 500 +0.95%
vs. S&P 500 +1.40% ahead of the index

Hypothetical returns from BMO Capital's disclosed trades, not real profit or advice. How we model this.

Other Institutional Activity in Carlyle Group

Harris Associates L.P. increased its stake in Carlyle Group by 1,077,940 shares, bringing its total holdings to 17,661,625 shares valued at approximately $683.9 million. Massachusetts Financial Services Co. added 90,261 shares for a total of 7,739,524 shares worth about $299.7 million. Alkeon Capital Management LLC held steady with 5,941,316 shares, while William Blair Investment Management, LLC reduced its position by 386,262 shares, ending with 5,914,905 shares valued at around $229.1 million.

The Carlyle Group Inc. Stock Down 0.1%

Carlyle Group shares recently traded at $38.72, which is about equal to the closing price on October 27, 2026. This price is significantly below its 52-week high of $67.30 and reflects a 42.5% drop from that peak. The stock is currently above its 52-week low of $35.41, showing some resilience despite recent challenges.

12-month forecast

$CG price target

The Carlyle Group Inc. daily closes and this analyst's $46 target. Not advice.

Recent Earnings

For the trailing twelve months, Carlyle Group reported a revenue of approximately $2.8 billion with an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.97. The company has seen a revenue growth decline of 32.9% year-over-year. The next earnings report is scheduled for November 4, 2026.

Insider Buying and Selling at The Carlyle Group Inc.

On September 11, 2026, Director David M. Rubenstein sold 400,000 shares at an average price of $42.74, totaling about $17.1 million. This transaction happened before the recent analyst updates and reflects ongoing adjustments in insider positions.

Analysts Set New Price Targets

On October 27, 2026, BMO Capital maintained its Outperform rating while lowering the price target to $46. Earlier, Barclays, TD Cowen, and UBS had also adjusted their price targets, reflecting a cautious sentiment across multiple firms. The consensus among analysts currently suggests a mean price target of $51.37, supporting a buy recommendation based on 19 opinions.

About Carlyle Group

The Carlyle Group Inc. is an investment firm based in Washington, DC, specializing in direct investments and fund management. With a market cap of about $13.8 billion, Carlyle focuses on various sectors including financial services and asset management. This recent price target adjustment from BMO Capital indicates a careful reevaluation of the firm's market position.

Bottom Line

Investors should keep an eye on Carlyle Group's upcoming earnings report on November 4, 2026, as it may influence future analyst ratings and price targets. The recent changes by BMO Capital and other firms highlight the ongoing scrutiny of the company's performance in a challenging market environment.

Source: BMO Capital's rating change on $CG (Oct 27, 2026). Written by software, not financial advice. How we make alerts

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