JP Morgan Rates CME Overweight, $367 Price Target
Key Points
- JP Morgan upgraded CME Group Inc. to an Overweight rating and set a $367 price target on October 22, 2026.
- JP Morgan's $367 price target implies 24.07% upside from CME Group Inc.'s ($CME) current $295.79 share price.
- CME Group posted trailing twelve-month revenue of $6.76 billion alongside an EPS of $11.79.
- Sanders Capital, LLC recently held 5,067,740 shares of the financial exchange operator worth about $1.55 billion.
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JP Morgan upgraded its rating on CME Group Inc. (NASDAQ:CME) to Overweight on October 22, 2026, setting a price target of $367.00. The research note outlines a bullish forward-looking view for the financial exchange operator as markets navigate shifting interest rates and global trading volumes. CME Group closed at $306.73 on the day of the announcement.
JP Morgan's Call on CME Group
In its October 22 research note, JP Morgan assigned an Overweight rating to CME Group alongside a price target of $367.00. The firm did not have a recorded prior target for the stock. This optimistic call highlights confidence in the exchange operator's core business model of running global trading markets for futures and options.
Other Institutional Activity in CME Group
Large financial institutions continue to manage substantial stakes in the exchange operator. Sanders Capital, LLC grew its holdings by 906,692 shares, ending its reported period with 5,067,740 shares worth about $1.55 billion.
CME Group Inc. Stock Up 0.8%
CME Group shares recently traded around $295.79 as of October 22, 2026, sitting below the session's close of $306.73. The stock trades above its 50-day moving average of $274.96 and its 200-day moving average of $278.92. The company carries a market capitalization of $106.19 billion and a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.05.
$CME price target
CME Group Inc. daily closes and this analyst's $367 target. Not advice.
Recent Earnings
CME Group reported trailing twelve-month revenue of $6.76 billion and earnings of $11.79 per share. The company achieved a net profit margin of 63.4% and a return on equity of 15.8%.
Earnings drift grade
Outlook vs expectations on the last report — not price action.
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Forward outlook
2 target cuts vs 0 raises.
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EPS & revenue
EPS missed estimates by 1.2%. Revenue missed estimates by 1.6%.
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Profit surprise
EBITDA missed by 6 percent. Operating income missed by 5 percent.
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Pre-earnings setup
Expectations were about average.
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Analyst signal
2 target cuts.
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Earnings quality
Gross margin up 0.7 points. Operating margin up 2.2 points. Positive free cash flow.
Earnings Call Summary
CME delivered a record first quarter with average daily volume of 36.2 million contracts, up 22 percent year-over-year, marking the highest in company history. Revenue reached $1.88 billion, up 14 percent, with record performance across all six asset classes and international markets. The company achieved record adjusted operating margins of 72.8 percent and adjusted earnings per share of $3.36, returning $3.2 billion to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.
Guidance CME reaffirmed its full-year adjusted expense guidance of about $1.695 billion. The company expects to continue investing in technology and cloud migration while maintaining capital returns through dividends and share buybacks.
Severe negative reset. The report materially damaged the forward outlook and likely forces major downward revisions.
Dividend
CME Group pays an annual dividend rate of $5.20 per share, giving it a dividend yield of 1.76% with a payout ratio of 95.4%.
Insider Buying and Selling at CME Group Inc.
Company insiders have been active in the stock over recent months. Director William R. Shepard bought 339 shares on June 25, 2026, at an average price of $230.57 for a total value of $78,186. Later, Chief Executive Officer Terrence A. Duffy sold 15,000 shares on September 10, 2026, for a total value of $4,116,539. Director Elizabeth A. Cook sold 500 shares on September 14, 2026, at an average price of $280.11 for a total value of $140,055. Finally, Director William R. Shepard bought another 292 shares on September 25, 2026, at an average price of $268.76 for a total value of $78,626.
Analysts Set New Price Targets
Other Wall Street firms adjusted their views on the stock around the same period. On October 14, 2026, Wells Fargo maintained its Overweight rating and raised its target from $301.00 to $315.00. On October 22, 2026, Barclays maintained an Equal-Weight rating while lifting its target from $281.00 to $321.00. On that same day, Wells Fargo raised its target further to $333.00 with an Overweight rating, and Piper Sandler reiterated its Overweight rating with a target increase from $295.00 to $330.00. Consensus analyst data shows a hold recommendation across 16 opinions with a mean price target of $292.94.
About CME Group
Based in Chicago, Illinois, CME Group operates global contract markets for trading futures and options. The company provides venues to trade products tied to interest rates, equity indexes, foreign exchange, agricultural goods, energy, and metals.
Bottom Line
JP Morgan's new Overweight rating reflects positive expectations for the exchange operator. Investors will monitor trading volumes and upcoming financial reports to see if the company meets these heightened market expectations.
Source: JP Morgan's rating change on $CME (Oct 22, 2026). Written by software, not financial advice. How we make alerts